Nadal, Murray cruise into third round in New York

Tennis Betting Lines

09/04/2010 - Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Rafael Nadal and fourth- seeded Andy Murray were a pair of easy straight-set winners on Friday in second round action at the 2010 U.S. Open.

Nadal needed 2 hours, 44 minutes to post a 6-2, 7-6 (7-5), 7-5 victory over Denis Istomin to make it into the third round, where the Spaniard will face former Top-10 Frenchman Gilles Simon, who beat 29th-seeded Philipp Kohlschreiber 4-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-1, 6-3.

The eight-time major champion is in search of his first U.S. Open title, which would complete the career Grand Slam. The winner of the season's last two major titles, Nadal has beaten Simon in three of their four matchups, including both times in a major tournament.

Nadal was able to take advantage of Istomin's 40 unforced errors and won 50 of the 60 points on his first serve. He has advanced to at least the third round in 19 straight Grand Slam events.

Murray needed under 1 1/2 hours to dispatch Jamaican Dustin Brown 7-5, 6-3, 6-0, including just an 18-minute third set. The Scot fired 12 aces and 32 winners, winning 90 percent of the points on his first serve.

Arguably the best player in the world without a major championship, Murray -- a two-time major runner-up, including at the 2008 U.S. Open -- will next face 25th-seeded Stanislas Wawrinka.

Murray is no stranger to the capable Wawrinka, who beat Juan Ignacio Chela 7-5, 6-3, 6-4 to reach the third round. The two have faced off eight times, with Murray capturing five, including a win in the fourth round of the 2008 U.S. Open.

Also advancing easily were a pair of top-10 Spaniards -- eighth-seeded Fernando Verdasco and 10th-seeded David Ferrer.

Verdasco had no problems in a 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 victory over France's Adrian Mannarino, while Ferrer got past German Benjamin Becker 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. Verdasco will next face either 31st-seeded David Nalbandian or Florent Serra, while Ferrer will take on Daniel Gimeno-Traver.

Gimeno-Traver was a 4-6, 6-2, 6-0, 7-6 (7-2) winner over Jeremy Chardy.

Other seeded winners included 12th-seeded Russian Mikhail Youzhny, who beat Dudi Sela 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, 14th-seeded Nicolas Almagro, who defeated Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 6-3, 7-6 (7-5), 4-6, 7-6 (7-4), and 18th-seeded American John Isner, who topped Marco Chiudinelli 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 (9-7), 6-4.

Additionally, 20th-seeded Sam Querrey overwhelmed Marcel Granollers 6-2, 6-3, 6-4, 23rd-seeded Feliciano Lopez defeated Frenchman Benoit Paire 6-4, 6-7 (4-7), 5-7, 7-6 (7-3), 6-2 and 31st-seeded David Nalbandian routed Florent Serra 7-5, 6-4, 6-2.

Fresh off his title at New Haven last week, Sergiy Stakhovsky reached the third round here for the first time with a 6-3, 5-7, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 (8-6) win over American Ryan Harrison.

Spain's Tommy Robredo beat France's Julien Benneteau after the latter retired toward the end of the second set, and Frenchman Michael Llodra was a straight- set winner over Victor Hanescu.

The night session features top-seeded Rafael Nadal, who faces off against Denis Istomin. Nadal is in search of the career Grand Slam if he can win here at Flushing Meadows, and it would be his third consecutive major tournament win.

Third-round action gets underway for the men on Saturday, with second-seeded Roger Federer and third-seeded Novak Djokovic headlining the schedule at Arthur Ashe Stadium. Federer, a five-time champion here and a finalist in each of the past six years, takes on Paul-Henri Mathieu, while Djokovic, still in search of his second major championship, battles American fan-favorite James Blake in the night session.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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