Sharks continue homestand with battle against Predators

Hockey Betting Lines

03/11/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Having rallied in the third period in each of its last two victories, the San Jose Sharks wrap their season series with the Nashville Predators this evening at HP Pavilion.

Even though it is getting later in the season, the Sharks have been able to finish strong in their last two games. Dany Heatley and Manny Malhotra scored in the third period of a 3-2 win over Montreal last Thursday before Heatley and Joe Pavelski lit the lamp in the final frame of Saturday's 2-1 triumph against Columbus.

Evgeni Nabokov made 21 saves for the Sharks, who are 2-1-0 on a five-game homestand and have won seven of their last 10 as host.

"I think the offense is going, but we're just running into some hot goalies in this league," said Heatley, who has scored in back-to-back contests after going five games without a tally. "Especially down the stretch here, we're going to face hot goalies every team we play. The good things are we're creating a lot and getting a lot of chances."

The Sharks now find themselves tied with the Chicago Blackhawks for the most points in the Western Conference with 93, though they have a game in hand. Both clubs trail the Washington Capitals by six points for the most in the NHL.

While San Jose has needed to rally in its last two games, Nashville comes in off a great defensive effort that made an early lead stand up. Ryan Suter and Colin Wilson both scored first-period goals Tuesday in Atlanta, and Dan Ellis made it stand up with 30 saves in a 2-1 victory.

"The first period I thought we played real well," said Nashville head coach Barry Trotz. "I know they were playing with a lot of urgency. I thought we played a real good road period to start."

In halting a two-game slide and winning for the fourth time in six games, the Predators gave Trotz, who has been the team's coach since its inception in 1998, his 400th career victory. He became just the seventh coach in NHL history to reach that mark with one team.

Nashville, which is two points up on Calgary for the seventh spot in the West, played its second game in a row without Shea Weber. The defenseman has 12 goals and 24 assists this year.

The Predators, who won the opener of a four-game road trip, now head out West and will also play in Anaheim and Los Angeles. Tuesday's win was just the club's third in its last 10 games as the guest.

San Jose has won two of three versus Nashville this year -- with each game decided by just one goal -- and eight of the last 11 in the series.

The Sharks notched a 4-3 road win when the clubs last met on February 6. Heatley had two goals and an assist, giving him five goals and six helpers in eight career games versus the Preds. Joe Thornton had two assists for San Jose in that game, and he has 30 career helpers in 27 games versus Nashville.

The Predators have dropped two straight, four of five and nine of their last 11 at San Jose.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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Marlins could start season without No. 2 starter Johnson

JUPITER, Fla. -- The Foorida Marlins are preparing for the likelihood that right-hander
Josh Johnson won't be ready when the season starts April 2.

Grapefruit League action starts Wednesday, but Johnson, penciled in as the No. 2 starter, hasn't even thrown off a mound at full speed since September. He's experienced some soreness in his right forearm.

MySportsbook.com have the Marlins listed with baseball betting lines at +800 to win the NL East this season .

''You guys know the math. If he's not on the hill then he becomes an opening day roster issue,'' manager Fredi Gonzalez said Saturday. ''We're borderline now.''

Johnson, who finished 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA in 2007, was supposed to throw on flat ground Saturday. That was canceled when he woke up with pain.

He played catch on Wednesday with no pain but felt discomfort in a throwing session on Thursday. He's expected to try again Sunday.

''Like we always said from the very beginning, we're going to take it easy on him,'' Gonzalez said. ''He didn't feel right, so we shut him down. We're going to take it back to step one and see where we're at.''

Among the candidates to take Johnson's spot in the rotation are left-hander Chris George and right-handers Yusmeiro Petit and Jose Garcia.

Right-hander Sergio Mitre, who missed most of last season with arm and shoulder problems, also is behind.

With Johnson's status doubtful, Gonzalez said right-hander Ricky Nolasco will stay in the rotation and no longer will be considered a candidate for closer.

Additional basbeall odds can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com

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